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Reproduction of news articles, photos, videos or any other content in whole or in part in any form or medium without express writtern permission of moneycontrol. Close Ad. Please select a Day. Sector: Diversified. Add to. Pre Opening. Advance Chart. Long Unwinding. June 26, Mutual Funds. Sensex touches 60,; when will the index hit ,? With the Sensex crossing 60, it closed at 60, on September 24 , we thought of asking an audacious question: When will it hit ,?
A decade ago when the Sensex was at 16, as on September 19, , it would have been considered outrageous to even think about the bellwether index crossing ,, forget , Read on to find out when experts predict the Sensex will touch this milestone of ,, the sectors one should bet.
Read on to find out when experts predict the Sensex will touch this milestone of ,, the sectors one should bet on now to gain from this journey, and the unicorns of today that might find a spot in the stock basket in the future. Sensex at k by ? While there have been many ups and downs during the journey of the Sensex that started in , the long-term trend established over 30 years is of a continuous rise with a compounded annual growth rate CAGR of When we want to gauge the future trajectory of the Sensex, the most fundamental aspect which will decide if it can follow the previous trend is the economic growth of the country.
Growth in corporate earnings drives the valuation of the companies and if earnings growth is sustained, experts say that the Sensex touching , may be achievable in the next 10 years. With economic fundamentals remaining strong, the likelihood of this long-term trend to continue is high. Valuation of companies is often done by discounting the future earning to get the present value. In doing so, the discount rate plays a vital role in deciding the pace of the valuation growth.
One of the most critical factors that decides the discount rate is the interest rate in the economy. If the interest rate is higher, valuation will be lower, and if interest rate is lower, valuation will be higher. Our inflation differential vs the west has reduced, and our currency is now more stable vs earlier.
Already over last 10 years we have seen around 1. It is the direction future interest rates take that will become critical in driving future valuation. If the country is able to maintain the overall interest rate at a much lower level than the last decade corporates will enjoy higher valuations and the Sensex may reach the k level much earlier than , which is the average prediction.
This would be similar to China where a combination of fast growth and low rates exist. Could any of the current unicorns be part of Sensex k?
When investing for the long term you need to identify the companies which are likely to register the fastest growth and deliver superior returns. While many small and medium sized companies may emerge as future winners, identifying them early could be a complex process for the average retail investor. However, there is an easy way of picking the right stock - betting on unicorns. Rate Story. Font Size Abc Small.
Abc Medium. Abc Large. ET Online. The rupee hit a record low of 58 against the dollar in intraday trade on rising worries about the country's rising current account deficit which may get impacted further by weakness in currency. The rupee fell as dollar gained following disappointing data from China and slightly better-than-expected US jobs data, fueling expectations that the Federal Reserve might curb its asset purchases later this year. Also, ETMarkets.
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